Lots of people talk about 'pin-down' effects on underlying instruments as a consequence of large positions on the options market. I did a prelimnary analysis using NIFTY options data on an eod of day basis (will do a more detailed analysis using intraday data on expiry dat later).. results arent very strong but arent a clear negation either... this should be an interesting area of research for the future..
From 2005 onwards, approx 30% cases test positive
From 2006 onwards, approx 20% cases test positive
From 2007 onwards, approx 50% cases test positive
From 2008 onwards, approx 40% cases test positive
note that the data ends in Feb 2009.
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